Analyses - Articles
SoFi Stock Is 46% Below Its High. Is It Cheap, or Does It Just Look Cheap?
Revenue is up 44%, profit 73%, and management has promised a figure for 2027 for the first time. Yet the stock is nearly half its annual high and down from n
A Slightly Spoiled Soup. Why Did the Famous Company Have to Cut Its Dividend After a 67% Plunge?
Campbell's stock is near its lows after a year of declines, and screeners show a 6.8% yield. But in September, management cut the dividend for the first time since 2001, even though it had the cash to pay it. What will be left of that figure for someone buying today?
Record margins, AWS’s fastest growth in 5 years, stock down 6%
Over the past 2 days, all 3 big companies reported earnings: Microsoft $MSFT rose after its results, Alphabet $GOOG lost over 12%, and Amazon plunged as much as 10% right after the market close before recovering some of its losses. Yet it reported the most profitable quarter in its history. To…
Is This Europe’s Most Overlooked Dividend Stock?
It has raised its dividend for thirty years straight, has low debt, and pays 5.9% a year. Yet it’s valued like a bank in trouble. And the founders have just decided to give up control. Is this a reward for patience, or a trap?
Why Is the Market Overlooking Qualcomm’s Entry into the Defense Business?
Qualcomm is 30% below its peak because it’s losing Apple. The military laptop it unveiled with Anduril was almost ignored by the market. Yet it shows exactly which customer is leaving and which is arriving—and what that will do to the share price.
Google has a problem: shares plunge 10%
$GOOG shares are plunging dramatically! Down 10% right after earnings. Google posted its best cloud results ever, yet its stock is plunging 10%—a case of AI killing Google’s business from within.
Three defense stocks have fallen as much as 48%. Peace threatens only one of them
Rheinmetall, Hensoldt, and GE Aerospace all carry the same label, and all three are falling. But Ukraine talks realistically affect the profits of only one of them. The market is punishing the other two for something entirely different.
It has raised its dividend every year since 1967. Why is the market dumping it now?
The only real estate fund in the world with Dividend King status has raised its payout for the 59th consecutive time this year. Yet the stock is down 14% from its peak, and government bond yields not seen in a quarter-century are scaring off buyers. What are you paying that premium for?
The Safest Stock in Your Portfolio Just Took a Hit from Brazil
Coca-Cola raised its outlook for the third straight time, yet its stock fell. The numbers show that growth for the “American safe haven” is now driven mainly by Brazil, Mexico, and India—and Brazil’s real just lost nearly 12% in a single day.
PayPal rejected $60 per share. Today it’s worth $56. Who got it wrong?
The board called an offer of $60.50 per share too low this year. The market is paying less today. Earnings per share are rising, net income is falling, and a single number that most investors aren’t tracking will decide who got it wrong.
The Purest Silver Bet Has Fallen 59%. Is That Enough?
Debt-free, with half a billion dollars in cash and operating profit growing 61% a year. Yet Hecla Mining shares lost nearly a quarter of their value in a month. Anyone who understands why knows what the next move in silver will do to them.
Abel sold, the index kicked it out, and it fell 73%. Is this a dividend buying opportunity?
Three blows in a single year and the stock 73% below its peak. Yet the company raised its dividend this year, approved $600 million in buybacks, and its cash flow jumped 47%. Who's wrong here: the market or management?
Is Caterpillar Finally Cheap After the Plunge, or Still Expensive?
The stock has lost 36% since June and took two hits in October for two different reasons. Yet it is still valued as an AI winner. The October 29 results will show whether record orders justify the premium—or whether it is just a story no one can see through.
Meta invested more than it earned for the first time since 2012. The stock fell 7% as a result
Advertising is growing 26%, and 10 million people have activated the new AI assistant in six weeks. Yet for the first time since going public, Meta ended up with negative free cash flow. Zuckerberg has found a way to pay the data center bill. The market doesn’t like it.
Amazon Is Sold Out Through 2028. Why Isn’t That Helping the Stock?
Amazon’s CEO is reporting cloud demand the company can’t keep up with, yet the stock lost more than 5% in a week. The market has stopped counting orders and started counting the data center bill. And that bill will determine whether $248 is a bargain or a trap.
Interested in private equity? This small fund offers a 6.5% dividend paid monthly
A small U.S. fund sends shareholders $0.08 a month and occasionally throws in a bonus. Last year, it posted its biggest paper gains in its history, yet still ended up with an accounting loss. Both things have the same cause.
Is a Big Bang Coming for This Stock?
Shares of this restaurant chain have doubled in a year, and revenue is growing at a tech-company pace. But some of that growth is just an echo of the COVID trough, and the real reason behind the rally has only been in place for two quarters. On October 27, we’ll find out if it lasts.
America’s Most Boring Growth Stock Is Down 44%. Opportunity or Warning?
Revenue is growing 29% a year, guidance has been raised three times, and the backlog is at a record high. Yet the stock keeps setting new yearly lows. The market has noticed something you won’t find in press releases: the price the company is paying for its growth.
Gold Is Down a Quarter. Why Is the World’s Biggest Miner Up This Year?
Gold is down a quarter from its January record, and mining funds are falling faster than the metal. Yet Newmont stock is up this year. Anyone holding it as leverage on gold is actually holding something else.
Why Are Investors Ignoring This Undervalued Stock With a 6.1% Dividend?
Global Ship Lease pays a 6.1% dividend, and it takes just a quarter of its earnings to cover it. Yet the market values it as a company living off a one-off wartime anomaly. The years 2027 and 2028 will decide who is right.