ZTO Express ZTO · NYSE
$20.17 +1.46% (+$0.29)
Summary
75 / 100 · Bulios Score
What speaks for it
- Out of every 100 CNY of revenue, 19 CNY is left as net profit.
- The share price is below the Bulios Fair Price.
- Revenue grew by 11% a year over the last 3 years.
- Analysts expect revenue to grow by 21% this fiscal year.
What to watch
- It cut its dividend by 33% last year.
- It missed profit estimates 5 times in the last 8 quarters.
Bulios Scoring describes a company's quality and track record, not its future return. A high score is not a buy signal. Learn more
Score in detailPrice
Is it expensive?
Looks cheapBulios Fair Price is an estimate of a stock's fair value from the Bulios valuation model. It is an input for your own analysis, not investment advice. How does it work?
Today you pay 9.7 CNY for 1 CNY of yearly profit. Over the last five years it was 19.0 CNY on average.
Valuation in detailIs it growing?
SlowlyRevenue (CNY)
Diluted EPS (CNY)
- Analyst estimate
Revenue grew by 14% a year over 5 years. Over the last 3 years it grew by 11% a year. For the next fiscal year analysts expect revenue to grow by 21%. Earnings per share grew by 9.3% a year over the last 3 years.
Growth in detailDoes it make money?
Very wellWhere 100 CNY of revenue goes
- Cost of sales 75 CNY
- Sales and administration 4.8 CNY
- Taxes and other 1.3 CNY
- Net profit 19 CNY
Net profit, industry median (Integrated Freight & Logistics) 3.7 CNY
Out of every 100 CNY of revenue, 19 CNY is left as net profit.
Profitability in detailIs it financially healthy?
YesRepaying all its debt would take 5.2 years of free cash flow. It holds more cash than debt.
Financial health in detailDoes it pay a dividend?
Moderate, at risk- Yield
- 3.47%
- Paid out of profit
- 34%
You receive $0.69 per share a year. The payout is more than the company can comfortably cover.
Dividends in detailWhat do analysts expect?
Mildly positive- Buy 6
- Hold 4
- Sell 0
Today's price within the analysts' price targets
The average target of $27.9 is 38% above today's price. 60% of the analysts recommend buying.
Analysts in detailWhat does it earn on?
Fiscal year 2025By product
- Express delivery services 93%
- Sale of accessories 5.0%
- Freight forwarding services 1.6%
- Others 0.2%
By region
The company reports no revenue by region.
Express delivery services brings in 93% of revenue. Sale of accessories grew fastest, by 19% a year.
Segments in detail